Water + nature

Resilient Mangrove Forests

Mangrove forests are among the most productive and valuable ecosystems on Earth. They protect coastlines, support biodiversity, and sustain local communities. However, many of these ecosystems are under threat due to deforestation, urbanization, and climate change. This research, developed in collaboration with The World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) and The Netherlands Red Cross, explores the current condition and possible futures for mangrove landscapes around the globe. Through four illustrated scenarios, we highlight the importance of Nature-Based Solutions (NBS) in ensuring a sustainable and resilient future for both people and the planet.

What we see today:

The first visual represents a typical mangrove forest system as it exists today. A variety of natural elements are still in place, but signs of degradation are already visible.

  • Healthy zones such as coral reefs, sea grass beds, and dense mangrove belts provide essential ecosystem services like wave attenuation and nurseries for fish.
  • Local communities benefit from small-scale fisheries and natural protection against storms and erosion.
  • However, threats like declining fish populations, mangrove deforestation, and coastal development are beginning to compromise the ecosystem.
  • The balance between nature and human activity is fragile and increasingly at risk.

Existing Situation

What happens if we don’t act:

If no action is taken, the pressure from human activity and climate change intensifies. This scenario illustrates a future where nature is replaced with hard infrastructure, but it fails to offer lasting protection.

  • Seawalls replace reefs and mangroves but do not absorb wave energy effectively.
  • Mangrove forests disappear, leading to rapid coastal erosion and loss of biodiversity.
  • Urban expansion blocks the inland migration of mangroves, further weakening natural buffers.
  • Fish stocks decline dramatically due to ecosystem collapse, affecting food security.
  • The result is a vulnerable, rigid environment with high maintenance costs and little resilience.

Future without nature based solutions

The cost of inaction:

This scenario shows the devastating outcome of ignoring natural systems when faced with climate-induced disasters such as storm surges.

  • Storm surges and sea level rise overwhelm artificial barriers.
  • Sparse or degraded mangrove areas provide no buffer against flooding.
  • Infrastructure fails — pump stations could collapse, erosion damages roads and buildings.
  • Coral reefs are bleached, and fish stocks are nearly gone.
  • The community faces severe losses, both ecologically and economically, under extreme weather conditions.

Future disaster without nature based solutions

A hopeful and sustainable future:

This final visual depicts a thriving coastal ecosystem and resilient community, made possible by adopting nature-based solutions.

  • Healthy coral reefs and restored sea grass absorb wave energy.
  • Mangroves are protected and expanded inland, supported by smart patial planning and elevated infrastructure.
  • Semi-permeable structures and natural buffers increase flood resilience.
  • Sustainable fishery practices maintain food supplies.
  • The area supports eco-recreation, tourism, and even agroforestry, creating economic opportunities while preserving the environment.
  • This vision demonstrates how harmonizing development with nature can lead to safer, richer, and more adaptable communities.

Future with nature based solutions

Call to Action

In the coming months, WWF and the Netherlands Red Cross will strengthen their collaboration by reaching out to NGOs and governments to identify a project area. We believe that investing in nature is not just an environmental choice, it is the foundation of a sustainable human civilization. Let's design for a future that works with nature, not against it.